With much of the United States baking from a hotter-than-normal summer, odds are that not many people are worrying about what the coming winter holds. But the beginning of autumn is less than a month away, and an early cool snap across the northern tier of the country could be just around the corner. So now seems like a good time to check in on stockpiles of heating oil, propane and natural gas, and to hazard an educated guess about prices.
The Supply Picture
Here’s one forecast you can count on: There will be plenty of heating fuel to go around this winter. Stocks of heating oil, propane and natural gas are all higher than average, in part because last winter ended up milder than normal and left storage facilities well stocked when spring arrived.
Continue reading “Will an autumn cool snap hike energy prices?”
This week, we’ll take a deep dive into the coming transformation of smartphones.
Smartphone innovation is far from over. A slew of amazing new features will be unveiled over the next five years. Packed with new chips, sensors and software, smartphones will take on new tasks and unleash a wave of money-making opportunities. The phones will do everything from serving as walkie-talkies to running advanced artificial intelligence apps.
Continue reading “These cool new technologies will disrupt the smartphone market … again”
Widening 4% in ’16, after a 6.2% increase in ’15
Weak global growth combined with a relatively strong U.S. dollar will drive the U.S. trade deficit up 4% this year, as American exporters struggle to stay competitive in key trading nations. The drag on exports is likely to continue into next year. Continue reading “Trade Deficit Increases in Listless World Economy”
4% growth in ’16, compared with 4.8% in ’15 (excluding gas)
Feeling more confident about the economy, the job market and their own financial stability, shoppers dialed up spending in June. The third consecutive month of gains marks a strong end to the second quarter of 2016, though challenges remain as retailers grapple with changing industry trends—more online shopping, free shipping demands, etc. Continue reading “Consumers Rev Up Spending”
Prices up 5% on average in major metro areas
Favorable mortgage rates and healthy job growth will spur home buying and residential construction in coming months.
Continue reading “Housing Market Keeps Its Momentum”
Crude oil trading from $40 to $45 per barrel in Sept.
Another wild week for the oil market, but prices wound up near where they started, at about $42 per barrel for benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI).
Continue reading “Price Drops at the Gas Pump to Continue”
Flat in ’16, after drop in ’15
Turmoil in overseas markets is adding an extra layer of caution to U.S. businesses’ plans for investment in new equipment purchases.
Continue reading “Flat Growth for Business Spending in 2016”
1.8% for ’16, up from 2.4% in ’17
Consumer price inflation will continue to pick up through the rest of the year, though at a rate of 1.8%, a slower pace than we have been forecasting because energy and food price increases are moderating.
Continue reading “Inflation on the Rise”
10-year T-notes at 1.4% by end ’16
The vote by Britain to leave the European Union has completely changed the outlook for interest rates. Rates should stay low for an extended period of time as U.S. Treasury notes and bonds remain important safe haven investments in the face of uncertainty over growth in Europe and Japan.
Continue reading “Brexit Vote Puts Damper on Interest Rates”
Hiring slowing to 150K-200K/month by end ’16
Look for job growth to gradually retreat into the range of 150,000 to 200,000 jobs per month — versus a strong 255,000 jobs added in July — as the hot employment market of the past few years downshifts to a more sustainable pace.
Continue reading “Pace of Job Growth to Slow”